Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
44%
30%
26%
1 44%X 30%2 26%
Match preview
Lille face Lens in the Ligue 1, March 30, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 44% home, 30% draw, 26% away. Over their last five, Lille collected 9/15 points to Lens's 6/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 38%, with BTTS at 45%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS yes
45%
Expected goals
1.3083 - 0.8983
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)74%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)56%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.566%
Over 2.538%
Over 3.518%
Clean sheet
Lille41%
Lens27%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lille attaque 1.01 face à une défense 0.83 ; Lens attaque 0.84 face à 0.77.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3083 - 0.8983
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lille 9/15 · Lens 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0005).
Strengths — Lille: att 1.01 / def 0.77 · Lens: att 0.84 / def 0.83
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.09 / 3.4 / 3.91
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.2%
1-0 · 13.1%
0-0 · 12.3%
2-0 · 9.4%
0-1 · 8.6%
Head-to-head
3Lille
2draws
0Lens
5 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 60%
Over 2.5 · 20%
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