Predify
Ligue 1 · March 30, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 58/100
✓ correct
56%
25%
19%
1 56%X 25%2 19%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +16.0% vs market)
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS yes
47%
Expected goals
2.107 - 0.7368
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)81%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)44%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Clean sheet
Auxerre48%
Montpellier12%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Auxerre attaque 0.95 face à une défense 1.42 ; Montpellier attaque 0.56 face à 0.95.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.107 - 0.7368
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Auxerre 8/15 · Montpellier 0/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0242).
Strengths — Auxerre: att 0.95 / def 0.95 · Montpellier: att 0.56 / def 1.42
Recent form (last 5)
AuxerreDWLWD
MontpellierLLLLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.86 / 3.85 / 4.29
Likely scores
2-0 · 12.9%
1-0 · 11.4%
1-1 · 9.9%
2-1 · 9.5%
3-0 · 9.1%
Head-to-head
1Auxerre
0draws
2Montpellier
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.3
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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