Predify
Ligue 1 · March 29, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 70/100
✓ correct
14%
77%
1 9%X 14%2 77%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +9.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%
BTTS yes
57%
Expected goals
0.8741 - 3.6548
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)23%
12 (home/away)86%
X2 (draw/away)91%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.594%
Over 2.583%
Over 3.566%
Clean sheet
St Etienne3%
Paris SG42%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
St Etienne attaque 0.80 face à une défense 0.71 ; Paris SG attaque 1.86 face à 1.44.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.8741 - 3.6548
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
St Etienne 5/15 · Paris SG 15/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0111).
Strengths — St Etienne: att 0.80 / def 1.44 · Paris SG: att 1.86 / def 0.71
Recent form (last 5)
SE St Etienne
LDLDW
Paris SGWWWWW
Market odds
football-data — 10.42 / 6.97 / 1.25
Likely scores
0-3 · 8.8%
0-4 · 8.0%
1-3 · 7.7%
0-2 · 7.2%
1-4 · 7.0%
Head-to-head
0St Etienne
0draws
3Paris SG
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.7
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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