Predify
Ligue 1 · May 12, 2024
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
42%
28%
29%
1 42%X 28%2 29%
Match preview
Strasbourg face Metz in the Ligue 1, May 12, 2024 — and the model calls it tight: 42% home, 28% draw, 29% away. Over their last five, Strasbourg collected 4/15 points to Metz's 6/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 53% and both teams to score 57%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS yes
57%
Expected goals
1.554 - 1.2359
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)71%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)58%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.578%
Over 2.553%
Over 3.531%
Clean sheet
Strasbourg29%
Metz21%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Strasbourg attaque 0.85 face à une défense 1.26 ; Metz attaque 0.86 face à 1.08.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.554 - 1.2359
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Strasbourg 4/15 · Metz 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0001).
Strengths — Strasbourg: att 0.85 / def 1.08 · Metz: att 0.86 / def 1.26
Recent form (last 5)
StrasbourgDWLLL
MetzLWWLL
Market odds
football-data — 2.18 / 3.55 / 3.47
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.0%
2-1 · 9.2%
1-0 · 8.4%
2-0 · 7.4%
0-0 · 7.3%
Head-to-head
3Strasbourg
0draws
0Metz
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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