Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 58/100
✓ correct
19%
26%
55%
1 19%X 26%2 55%
Match preview
Metz face Lille in the Ligue 1, April 28, 2024. Predify's model leans an away win with a 55% probability. Over their last five, Metz collected 6/15 points to Lille's 10/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 47%, with BTTS at 47%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS yes
47%
Expected goals
0.8057 - 1.7576
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)45%
12 (home/away)74%
X2 (draw/away)81%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.574%
Over 2.547%
Over 3.526%
Clean sheet
Metz17%
Lille45%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Metz attaque 0.86 face à une défense 0.68 ; Lille attaque 1.10 face à 1.23.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.8057 - 1.7576
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Metz 6/15 · Lille 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0004).
Strengths — Metz: att 0.86 / def 1.23 · Lille: att 1.10 / def 0.68
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 5.54 / 3.99 / 1.67
Likely scores
0-1 · 12.4%
1-1 · 12.0%
0-2 · 11.9%
1-2 · 9.6%
0-0 · 8.8%
Head-to-head
0Metz
2draws
1Lille
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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