Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
26%
29%
45%
1 26%X 29%2 45%
Match preview
Clermont face Toulouse in the Ligue 1, March 31, 2024 — and the model calls it tight: 26% home, 29% draw, 45% away. Over their last five, Clermont collected 4/15 points to Toulouse's 9/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 42%, with BTTS at 48%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS yes
48%
Expected goals
0.9538 - 1.4005
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)55%
12 (home/away)71%
X2 (draw/away)74%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.569%
Over 2.542%
Over 3.521%
Clean sheet
Clermont25%
Toulouse39%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Clermont attaque 0.64 face à une défense 1.05 ; Toulouse attaque 0.91 face à 1.22.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9538 - 1.4005
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Clermont 4/15 · Toulouse 9/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0003).
Strengths — Clermont: att 0.64 / def 1.22 · Toulouse: att 0.91 / def 1.05
Recent form (last 5)
C Clermont
LDLLW
ToulouseWWWLL
Market odds
football-data — 3.97 / 3.5 / 2.04
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.0%
0-1 · 12.0%
0-0 · 10.8%
0-2 · 9.3%
1-2 · 8.9%
Head-to-head
2Clermont
1draws
0Toulouse
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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