Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 65/100
actual X
18%
70%
1 11%X 18%2 70%
⚡ Value detected on X (edge +9.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS yes
50%
Expected goals
0.813 - 2.2011
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)30%
12 (home/away)82%
X2 (draw/away)89%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.581%
Over 2.558%
Over 3.536%
Clean sheet
Troyes11%
Lille44%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Troyes attaque 0.72 face à une défense 0.75 ; Lille attaque 1.17 face à 1.50.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.813 - 2.2011
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Troyes 1/15 · Lille 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.02).
Strengths — Troyes: att 0.72 / def 1.50 · Lille: att 1.17 / def 0.75
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 14.41 / 8.74 / 1.16
Likely scores
0-2 · 11.9%
0-1 · 9.9%
1-2 · 9.7%
1-1 · 9.7%
0-3 · 8.7%
Head-to-head
1Troyes
0draws
2Lille
3 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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