Predify
Ligue 1 · May 21, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
actual X
17%
23%
60%
1 17%X 23%2 60%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +5.4% vs market)
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS yes
60%
Expected goals
1.1043 - 2.1388
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)40%
12 (home/away)77%
X2 (draw/away)83%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.584%
Over 2.563%
Over 3.541%
Clean sheet
Troyes12%
Strasbourg33%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Troyes attaque 0.72 face à une défense 1.02 ; Strasbourg attaque 1.10 face à 1.56.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.1043 - 2.1388
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Troyes 1/15 · Strasbourg 12/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0062).
Strengths — Troyes: att 0.72 / def 1.56 · Strasbourg: att 1.10 / def 1.02
Recent form (last 5)
TroyesLDLLL
StrasbourgWWLWW
Market odds
football-data — 7.83 / 5.04 / 1.42
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.1%
1-2 · 9.9%
0-2 · 8.9%
0-1 · 7.4%
1-3 · 7.0%
Head-to-head
1Troyes
2draws
0Strasbourg
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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