Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 75/100
✓ correct
83%
12%
1 83%X 12%2 5%
Match preview
Paris SG face Ajaccio in the Ligue 1, May 13, 2023. Predify's model leans a home win with a 83% probability. Over their last five, Paris SG collected 12/15 points to Ajaccio's 2/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 67% and both teams to score 38%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
BTTS yes
38%
Expected goals
2.929 - 0.4976
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)95%
12 (home/away)88%
X2 (draw/away)17%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.586%
Over 2.567%
Over 3.545%
Clean sheet
Paris SG61%
Ajaccio5%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Paris SG attaque 1.54 face à une défense 1.30 ; Ajaccio attaque 0.45 face à 0.86.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.929 - 0.4976
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Paris SG 12/15 · Ajaccio 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0019).
Strengths — Paris SG: att 1.54 / def 0.86 · Ajaccio: att 0.45 / def 1.30
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.1 / 12.22 / 28.46
Likely scores
2-0 · 13.9%
3-0 · 13.6%
4-0 · 10.0%
1-0 · 9.0%
2-1 · 6.9%
Head-to-head
1Paris SG
0draws
0Ajaccio
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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