Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 56/100
actual X
22%
27%
51%
1 22%X 27%2 51%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +11.5% vs market)
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS yes
47%
Expected goals
0.7973 - 1.7692
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)49%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)78%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.574%
Over 2.547%
Over 3.526%
Clean sheet
Ajaccio17%
Toulouse45%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Ajaccio attaque 0.48 face à une défense 1.14 ; Toulouse attaque 1.01 face à 1.38.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.7973 - 1.7692
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Ajaccio 1/15 · Toulouse 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0128).
Strengths — Ajaccio: att 0.48 / def 1.38 · Toulouse: att 1.01 / def 1.14
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 3.93 / 3.58 / 2.04
Likely scores
0-1 · 12.5%
0-2 · 12.0%
1-1 · 11.9%
1-2 · 9.6%
0-0 · 8.8%
Head-to-head
0Ajaccio
0draws
1Toulouse
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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