Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 67/100
✓ correct
72%
19%
1 72%X 19%2 9%
Match preview
Lille face Ajaccio in the Ligue 1, April 29, 2023. Predify's model leans a home win with a 72% probability. Over their last five, Lille collected 10/15 points to Ajaccio's 1/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 56% and both teams to score 39%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS yes
39%
Expected goals
2.3916 - 0.5396
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)91%
12 (home/away)81%
X2 (draw/away)28%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.580%
Over 2.556%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Lille58%
Ajaccio9%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Lille attaque 1.22 face à une défense 1.33 ; Ajaccio attaque 0.50 face à 0.85.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.3916 - 0.5396
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Lille 10/15 · Ajaccio 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0007).
Strengths — Lille: att 1.22 / def 0.85 · Ajaccio: att 0.50 / def 1.33
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.27 / 6 / 13
Likely scores
2-0 · 15.3%
3-0 · 12.2%
1-0 · 12.1%
2-1 · 8.2%
1-1 · 7.6%
Head-to-head
1Lille
0draws
0Ajaccio
1 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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