Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 58/100
actual X
56%
25%
19%
1 56%X 25%2 19%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +5.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS yes
55%
Expected goals
1.832 - 1.0193
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)81%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)44%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.554%
Over 3.532%
Clean sheet
Nantes36%
Troyes16%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Nantes attaque 0.83 face à une défense 1.48 ; Troyes attaque 0.76 face à 1.06.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.832 - 1.0193
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Nantes 3/15 · Troyes 1/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0075).
Strengths — Nantes: att 0.83 / def 1.06 · Troyes: att 0.76 / def 1.48
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.51 / 4.64 / 7.04
Likely scores
1-1 · 11.9%
2-1 · 9.9%
2-0 · 9.7%
1-0 · 9.5%
0-0 · 6.9%
Head-to-head
1Nantes
1draws
1Troyes
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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