Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 67/100
✓ correct
73%
17%
1 73%X 17%2 10%
Match preview
Marseille face Troyes in the Ligue 1, April 16, 2023. Predify's model leans a home win with a 73% probability. Over their last five, Marseille collected 9/15 points to Troyes's 2/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 65% and both teams to score 50%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS yes
50%
Expected goals
2.5973 - 0.7528
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)90%
12 (home/away)83%
X2 (draw/away)27%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.585%
Over 2.565%
Over 3.543%
Clean sheet
Marseille47%
Troyes7%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Marseille attaque 1.23 face à une défense 1.45 ; Troyes attaque 0.77 face à 0.76.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.5973 - 0.7528
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Marseille 9/15 · Troyes 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0011).
Strengths — Marseille: att 1.23 / def 0.76 · Troyes: att 0.77 / def 1.45
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.22 / 7.18 / 13.75
Likely scores
2-0 · 11.8%
3-0 · 10.3%
2-1 · 8.9%
1-0 · 8.4%
3-1 · 7.7%
Head-to-head
2Marseille
1draws
0Troyes
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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