Predify
Ligue 1 · April 16, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
✓ correct
57%
27%
17%
1 57%X 27%2 17%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +7.4% vs market)
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
BTTS yes
48%
Expected goals
1.9786 - 0.7978
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)83%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)43%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.577%
Over 2.552%
Over 3.530%
Clean sheet
Strasbourg45%
Ajaccio14%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Strasbourg attaque 0.99 face à une défense 1.36 ; Ajaccio attaque 0.51 face à 1.21.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.9786 - 0.7978
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Strasbourg 4/15 · Ajaccio 0/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0041).
Strengths — Strasbourg: att 0.99 / def 1.21 · Ajaccio: att 0.51 / def 1.36
Recent form (last 5)
StrasbourgLDWLL
A Ajaccio
LLLLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.72 / 3.53 / 6.21
Likely scores
2-0 · 12.2%
1-0 · 11.3%
1-1 · 10.8%
2-1 · 9.7%
3-0 · 8.0%
Head-to-head
0Strasbourg
0draws
1Ajaccio
1 meetings
Avg goals · 6.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Nov 05, 22Ajaccio4-2Strasbourg
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
Embed this prediction
Paste this on your site — it stays in sync and links back to Predify.
<iframe src="https://getpredify.com/embed/match/cmquoica708cyt0ddk9doo00m" width="340" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:100%" loading="lazy" title="Predify prediction"></iframe>