Analysis Bordeaux – Nice (Ligue 1)

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Ligue 1 · May 01, 2022

BordeauxB0:1

Nice

1X2 prediction

confidence 55/100

✓ correct

28%

45%

1 28%X 28%2 45%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +7.0% vs market)

Over 2.5

51%

Under 2.5

49%

BTTS yes

54%

Expected goals

1.0705 - 1.6629

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)55%

12 (home/away)72%

X2 (draw/away)72%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.577%

Over 2.551%

Over 3.529%

Clean sheet

Bordeaux19%

Nice34%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Bordeaux attaque 0.99 face à une défense 0.69 ; Nice attaque 0.79 face à 1.78.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.0705 - 1.6629

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Bordeaux 5/15 · Nice 7/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0047).

Strengths — Bordeaux: att 0.99 / def 1.78 · Nice: att 0.79 / def 0.69

Recent form (last 5)

B Bordeaux

DWLDL

Nice

DLWLW

Market odds

football-data — 3.29 / 3.6 / 2.27

Likely scores

1-1 · 12.7%

0-1 · 9.7%

1-2 · 9.6%

0-2 · 9.0%

0-0 · 7.7%

Head-to-head

0Bordeaux

0draws

1Nice

1 meetings

Avg goals · 4.0

BTTS yes · 0%

Over 2.5 · 100%

Aug 28, 21Nice4-0Bordeaux

ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.

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