Predify
Bundesliga · May 04, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
actual 2
48%
27%
25%
1 48%X 27%2 25%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS yes
54%
Expected goals
1.5749 - 1.1038
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)75%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)52%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.576%
Over 2.550%
Over 3.528%
Clean sheet
Augsburg33%
Holstein Kiel21%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Augsburg attaque 0.68 face à une défense 1.43 ; Holstein Kiel attaque 0.98 face à 0.78.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5749 - 1.1038
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Augsburg 5/15 · Holstein Kiel 5/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0037).
Strengths — Augsburg: att 0.68 / def 0.78 · Holstein Kiel: att 0.98 / def 1.43
Recent form (last 5)
AugsburgDLWDL
Holstein KielLDLDW
Market odds
football-data — 1.79 / 4.1 / 4.4
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.1%
1-0 · 9.6%
2-1 · 9.4%
2-0 · 8.5%
0-0 · 8.1%
Head-to-head
0Augsburg
0draws
1Holstein Kiel
1 meetings
Avg goals · 6.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Dec 21, 24Holstein Kiel5-1Augsburg
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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