Predify
Bundesliga · April 26, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual 1
33%
25%
42%
1 33%X 25%2 42%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +15.7% vs market)
Over 2.5
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS yes
70%
Expected goals
1.5063 - 2.1489
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)58%
12 (home/away)75%
X2 (draw/away)67%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.589%
Over 2.571%
Over 3.550%
Clean sheet
Holstein Kiel12%
M'gladbach22%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Holstein Kiel attaque 0.89 face à une défense 1.06 ; M'gladbach attaque 1.05 face à 1.41.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5063 - 2.1489
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Holstein Kiel 2/15 · M'gladbach 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0201).
Strengths — Holstein Kiel: att 0.89 / def 1.41 · M'gladbach: att 1.05 / def 1.06
Recent form (last 5)
Holstein KielLLDLD
M'gladbachWWDLL
Market odds
football-data — 2.51 / 3.83 / 2.72
Likely scores
1-1 · 9.2%
1-2 · 9.0%
2-2 · 6.8%
1-3 · 6.4%
2-1 · 6.3%
Head-to-head
0Holstein Kiel
0draws
1M'gladbach
1 meetings
Avg goals · 5.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Dec 14, 24M'gladbach4-1Holstein Kiel
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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