Predify
Bundesliga · April 19, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 61/100
actual X
63%
21%
17%
1 63%X 21%2 17%
Over 2.5
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS yes
63%
Expected goals
2.5988 - 1.1101
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)83%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)37%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.589%
Over 2.572%
Over 3.551%
Clean sheet
RB Leipzig33%
Holstein Kiel7%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
RB Leipzig attaque 1.12 face à une défense 1.46 ; Holstein Kiel attaque 0.91 face à 0.85.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.5988 - 1.1101
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
RB Leipzig 10/15 · Holstein Kiel 2/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0011).
Strengths — RB Leipzig: att 1.12 / def 0.85 · Holstein Kiel: att 0.91 / def 1.46
Recent form (last 5)
RB LeipzigDWLWW
Holstein KielDLLDL
Market odds
football-data — 1.48 / 5.21 / 6.11
Likely scores
2-1 · 9.2%
2-0 · 8.3%
3-1 · 8.0%
1-1 · 7.8%
3-0 · 7.2%
Head-to-head
1RB Leipzig
0draws
0Holstein Kiel
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Dec 07, 24Holstein Kiel0-2RB Leipzig
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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