Predify
Bundesliga · April 05, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 62/100
actual X
65%
21%
15%
1 65%X 21%2 15%
Match preview
Mainz face Holstein Kiel in the Bundesliga, April 05, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 65% probability. Over their last five, Mainz collected 10/15 points to Holstein Kiel's 4/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 70% and both teams to score 59%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
BTTS yes
59%
Expected goals
2.6008 - 1
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)85%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)36%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.588%
Over 2.570%
Over 3.548%
Clean sheet
Mainz37%
Holstein Kiel7%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Mainz attaque 1.06 face à une défense 1.51 ; Holstein Kiel attaque 0.93 face à 0.75.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.6008 - 1
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Mainz 10/15 · Holstein Kiel 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0012).
Strengths — Mainz: att 1.06 / def 0.75 · Holstein Kiel: att 0.93 / def 1.51
Recent form (last 5)
MainzWWWDL
Holstein KielLWDLL
Market odds
football-data — 1.44 / 5.07 / 7.16
Likely scores
2-0 · 9.2%
2-1 · 9.2%
3-0 · 8.0%
3-1 · 8.0%
1-1 · 7.8%
Head-to-head
1Mainz
0draws
0Holstein Kiel
1 meetings
Avg goals · 3.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Nov 24, 24Holstein Kiel0-3Mainz
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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