Analysis FC Koln – Freiburg (Bundesliga)

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Bundesliga · May 04, 2024

FC KolnFK0:0

Freiburg

1X2 prediction

confidence 54/100

actual X

34%

29%

38%

1 34%X 29%2 38%

⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +7.3% vs market)

Over 2.5

46%

Under 2.5

54%

BTTS yes

52%

Expected goals

1.1201 - 1.4073

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)62%

12 (home/away)71%

X2 (draw/away)66%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.573%

Over 2.546%

Over 3.525%

Clean sheet

FC Koln24%

Freiburg33%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

FC Koln attaque 0.59 face à une défense 1.11 ; Freiburg attaque 0.93 face à 1.09.

Buts attendus (λ)

1.1201 - 1.4073

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

FC Koln 5/15 · Freiburg 7/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0082).

Strengths — FC Koln: att 0.59 / def 1.09 · Freiburg: att 0.93 / def 1.11

Recent form (last 5)

FK FC Koln

DWLLD

Freiburg

WLWDL

Market odds

football-data — 2.52 / 3.67 / 2.78

Likely scores

1-1 · 13.9%

0-1 · 10.0%

0-0 · 9.3%

1-2 · 8.9%

0-2 · 7.9%

Head-to-head

1FC Koln

1draws

3Freiburg

5 meetings

Avg goals · 1.6

BTTS yes · 20%

Over 2.5 · 0%

Dec 17, 23Freiburg2-0FC Koln

Apr 29, 23FC Koln0-1Freiburg

Nov 06, 22Freiburg2-0FC Koln

Feb 05, 22

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