Analysis Augsburg – FC Koln (Bundesliga)

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Bundesliga · March 31, 2024

Augsburg

1:1FKFC Koln

1X2 prediction

confidence 59/100

actual X

58%

24%

18%

1 58%X 24%2 18%

⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +8.2% vs market)

Over 2.5

55%

Under 2.5

45%

BTTS yes

50%

Expected goals

2.0929 - 0.811

More markets

Double chance

1X (home/draw)82%

12 (home/away)76%

X2 (draw/away)42%

Goals (Over/Under)

Over 1.580%

Over 2.555%

Over 3.533%

Clean sheet

Augsburg44%

FC Koln12%

Why this prediction?

Attaque vs défense

Augsburg attaque 1.06 face à une défense 1.15 ; FC Koln attaque 0.61 face à 0.95.

Buts attendus (λ)

2.0929 - 0.811

Forme (5 derniers, pts)

Augsburg 12/15 · FC Koln 2/15

Accord avec le marché

Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0068).

Strengths — Augsburg: att 1.06 / def 0.95 · FC Koln: att 0.61 / def 1.15

Recent form (last 5)

Augsburg

LWWWW

FK FC Koln

LDLDL

Market odds

football-data — 1.67 / 4.13 / 5.16

Likely scores

2-0 · 12.0%

1-0 · 10.5%

1-1 · 10.2%

2-1 · 9.7%

3-0 · 8.4%

Head-to-head

1Augsburg

1draws

3FC Koln

5 meetings

Avg goals · 3.6

BTTS yes · 80%

Over 2.5 · 60%

Nov 04, 23FC Koln1-1Augsburg

Apr 08, 23Augsburg1-3FC Koln

Oct 16, 22FC Koln3-2Augsburg

Apr 30, 22

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