Predify
Bundesliga · April 23, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 57/100
✓ correct
52%
28%
20%
1 52%X 28%2 20%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +5.1% vs market)
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS yes
47%
Expected goals
1.7402 - 0.8193
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)80%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)48%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.574%
Over 2.547%
Over 3.526%
Clean sheet
Freiburg44%
Schalke 0418%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Freiburg attaque 0.90 face à une défense 1.07 ; Schalke 04 attaque 0.69 face à 0.87.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.7402 - 0.8193
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Freiburg 8/15 · Schalke 04 5/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0024).
Strengths — Freiburg: att 0.90 / def 0.87 · Schalke 04: att 0.69 / def 1.07
Recent form (last 5)
FreiburgWDDLW
S0 Schalke 04
DDLLW
Market odds
football-data — 1.84 / 3.62 / 4.87
Likely scores
1-0 · 12.4%
1-1 · 12.1%
2-0 · 11.7%
2-1 · 9.6%
0-0 · 8.8%
Head-to-head
1Freiburg
0draws
0Schalke 04
1 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Oct 30, 22Schalke 040-2Freiburg
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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