Predify
Bundesliga · March 19, 2022
1X2 prediction
confidence 59/100
actual X
18%
24%
58%
1 18%X 24%2 58%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +12.8% vs market)
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS yes
57%
Expected goals
0.9522 - 2.4177
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)42%
12 (home/away)76%
X2 (draw/away)82%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.586%
Over 2.565%
Over 3.544%
Clean sheet
Greuther Furth9%
Freiburg39%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Greuther Furth attaque 0.69 face à une défense 0.80 ; Freiburg attaque 1.08 face à 1.63.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9522 - 2.4177
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Greuther Furth 4/15 · Freiburg 11/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0132).
Strengths — Greuther Furth: att 0.69 / def 1.63 · Freiburg: att 1.08 / def 0.80
Recent form (last 5)
GF Greuther Furth
WLDLL
FreiburgDWWDW
Market odds
football-data — 5.05 / 3.98 / 1.74
Likely scores
0-2 · 10.1%
1-2 · 9.6%
1-1 · 8.7%
0-3 · 8.1%
1-3 · 7.7%
Head-to-head
0Greuther Furth
0draws
1Freiburg
1 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Oct 30, 21Freiburg3-1Greuther Furth
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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