Ecuador face New Zealand in the International, November 18, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 37% home, 39% draw, 24% away. Over their last five, Ecuador collected 7/15 points to New Zealand's 1/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 8%, with BTTS at 15%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a draw is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.