Predify
International · September 04, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 27/100
actual 1
32%
30%
37%
1 32%X 30%2 37%
Match preview
Iraq face Hong Kong SAR China in the International, September 04, 2025 — and the model calls it tight: 32% home, 30% draw, 37% away. Over their last five, Iraq collected 4/15 points to Hong Kong SAR China's 11/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 17%, with BTTS at 18%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
BTTS yes
18%
Expected goals
0.2823 - 1.1465
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)63%
12 (home/away)70%
X2 (draw/away)68%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.543%
Over 2.517%
Over 3.56%
Clean sheet
Iraq32%
Hong Kong75%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Iraq attaque 0.69 face à une défense 0.29 ; Hong Kong attaque 0.97 face à 0.84.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.2823 - 1.1465
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Iraq 4/15 · Hong Kong 11/15
Strengths — Iraq: att 0.69 / def 0.84 · Hong Kong: att 0.97 / def 0.29
Recent form (last 5)
IraqLDLLW
HK Hong Kong
WWDDW
Market odds
No odds available.
Likely scores
0-1 · 26.7%
0-0 · 24.7%
0-2 · 15.8%
1-1 · 8.5%
0-3 · 6.0%
Head-to-head
2Iraq
0draws
0Hong Kong SAR China
2 meetings
Avg goals · 1.5
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
Jun 11, 21Hong Kong SAR China0-1Iraq
Oct 10, 19Iraq2-0Hong Kong SAR China
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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