Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
✓ correct
46%
27%
27%
1 46%X 27%2 27%
Match preview
Arsenal face Newcastle in the Premier League, May 18, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 46% probability. Over their last five, Arsenal collected 6/15 points to Newcastle's 10/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 57% and both teams to score 60%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
57%
Under 2.5
43%
BTTS yes
60%
Expected goals
1.6787 - 1.2915
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)73%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)54%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.581%
Over 2.557%
Over 3.535%
Clean sheet
Arsenal27%
Newcastle19%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Arsenal attaque 1.26 face à une défense 0.87 ; Newcastle attaque 1.42 face à 0.65.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.6787 - 1.2915
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Arsenal 6/15 · Newcastle 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0019).
Strengths — Arsenal: att 1.26 / def 0.65 · Newcastle: att 1.42 / def 0.87
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.94 / 3.79 / 3.98
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.2%
2-1 · 9.3%
1-0 · 7.5%
2-0 · 7.2%
1-2 · 7.2%
Head-to-head
2Arsenal
1draws
2Newcastle
5 meetings
Avg goals · 1.8
BTTS yes · 20%
Over 2.5 · 20%
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