Predify
Premier League · May 11, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 64/100
actual X
67%
21%
12%
1 67%X 21%2 12%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS yes
42%
Expected goals
2.2684 - 0.6142
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)88%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)33%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.579%
Over 2.555%
Over 3.533%
Clean sheet
Nott'm Forest54%
Leicester10%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Nott'm Forest attaque 1.02 face à une défense 1.44 ; Leicester attaque 0.49 face à 0.90.
Buts attendus (λ)
2.2684 - 0.6142
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Nott'm Forest 4/15 · Leicester 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0043).
Strengths — Nott'm Forest: att 1.02 / def 0.90 · Leicester: att 0.49 / def 1.44
Recent form (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLLWLD
L Leicester
LDLLW
Market odds
football-data — 1.39 / 5.19 / 7.91
Likely scores
2-0 · 14.4%
1-0 · 11.9%
3-0 · 10.9%
2-1 · 8.8%
1-1 · 8.6%
Head-to-head
2Nott'm Forest
0draws
1Leicester
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.3
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 67%
Oct 25, 24Leicester1-3Nott'm Forest
Jan 14, 23Nott'm Forest2-0Leicester
Oct 03, 22Leicester4-0Nott'm Forest
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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