Predify
Premier League · May 03, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 57/100
actual 2
54%
27%
20%
1 54%X 27%2 20%
Match preview
Arsenal face Bournemouth in the Premier League, May 03, 2025. Predify's model leans a home win with a 54% probability. Over their last five, Arsenal collected 9/15 points to Bournemouth's 6/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 44%, with BTTS at 46%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
BTTS yes
46%
Expected goals
1.6566 - 0.7946
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)80%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)46%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.571%
Over 2.544%
Over 3.523%
Clean sheet
Arsenal45%
Bournemouth19%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Arsenal attaque 1.26 face à une défense 0.83 ; Bournemouth attaque 1.00 face à 0.56.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.6566 - 0.7946
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Arsenal 9/15 · Bournemouth 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0009).
Strengths — Arsenal: att 1.26 / def 0.56 · Bournemouth: att 1.00 / def 0.83
Recent form (last 5)
ArsenalWDDWD
BournemouthLDWDD
Market odds
football-data — 1.68 / 4.05 / 5.25
Likely scores
1-0 · 13.1%
1-1 · 12.5%
2-0 · 11.8%
0-0 · 9.8%
2-1 · 9.4%
Head-to-head
4Arsenal
0draws
1Bournemouth
5 meetings
Avg goals · 3.4
BTTS yes · 20%
Over 2.5 · 80%
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