Predify
Premier League · April 26, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 60/100
✓ correct
17%
24%
59%
1 17%X 24%2 59%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +12.2% vs market)
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS yes
49%
Expected goals
0.7696 - 2.2244
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)41%
12 (home/away)76%
X2 (draw/away)83%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.581%
Over 2.558%
Over 3.535%
Clean sheet
Southampton11%
Fulham46%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Southampton attaque 0.52 face à une défense 0.95 ; Fulham attaque 0.96 face à 1.60.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.7696 - 2.2244
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Southampton 2/15 · Fulham 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0141).
Strengths — Southampton: att 0.52 / def 1.60 · Fulham: att 0.96 / def 0.95
Recent form (last 5)
SouthamptonLDLLD
FulhamWLWLL
Market odds
football-data — 5.08 / 4.11 / 1.68
Likely scores
0-2 · 12.4%
0-1 · 10.3%
1-2 · 9.5%
1-1 · 9.4%
0-3 · 9.2%
Head-to-head
0Southampton
1draws
2Fulham
3 meetings
Avg goals · 1.7
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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