Predify
Premier League · April 19, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
actual 1
33%
26%
40%
1 33%X 26%2 40%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +11.9% vs market)
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS yes
66%
Expected goals
1.4548 - 1.9155
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)60%
12 (home/away)74%
X2 (draw/away)67%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.586%
Over 2.565%
Over 3.544%
Clean sheet
Aston Villa15%
Newcastle23%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Aston Villa attaque 1.08 face à une défense 0.86 ; Newcastle attaque 1.44 face à 0.93.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.4548 - 1.9155
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Aston Villa 12/15 · Newcastle 15/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0114).
Strengths — Aston Villa: att 1.08 / def 0.93 · Newcastle: att 1.44 / def 0.86
Recent form (last 5)
Aston VillaLWWWW
NewcastleWWWWW
Market odds
football-data — 2.55 / 3.65 / 2.71
Likely scores
1-1 · 10.5%
1-2 · 9.2%
2-1 · 7.0%
2-2 · 6.7%
0-2 · 6.3%
Head-to-head
1Aston Villa
0draws
4Newcastle
5 meetings
Avg goals · 4.0
BTTS yes · 40%
Over 2.5 · 100%
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