Predify
Premier League · April 12, 2025
1X2 prediction
confidence 62/100
✓ correct
15%
21%
64%
1 15%X 21%2 64%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +9.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
BTTS yes
52%
Expected goals
0.827 - 2.4801
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)36%
12 (home/away)79%
X2 (draw/away)85%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.585%
Over 2.564%
Over 3.542%
Clean sheet
Southampton8%
Aston Villa44%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Southampton attaque 0.55 face à une défense 0.99 ; Aston Villa attaque 1.04 face à 1.65.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.827 - 2.4801
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Southampton 1/15 · Aston Villa 12/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0084).
Strengths — Southampton: att 0.55 / def 1.65 · Aston Villa: att 1.04 / def 0.99
Recent form (last 5)
SouthamptonLLLDL
Aston VillaWLWWW
Market odds
football-data — 6.23 / 4.64 / 1.53
Likely scores
0-2 · 11.3%
1-2 · 9.3%
0-3 · 9.3%
0-1 · 8.3%
1-1 · 8.3%
Head-to-head
1Southampton
0draws
4Aston Villa
5 meetings
Avg goals · 1.6
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 20%
Dec 07, 24Aston Villa1-0Southampton
Jan 21, 23Southampton0-1Aston Villa
Sep 16, 22Aston Villa1-0Southampton
Mar 05, 22
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