Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 56/100
✓ correct
26%
24%
49%
1 26%X 24%2 49%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +8.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS yes
65%
Expected goals
1.3049 - 2.1751
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)51%
12 (home/away)76%
X2 (draw/away)74%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.587%
Over 2.568%
Over 3.546%
Clean sheet
Burnley11%
Newcastle27%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Burnley attaque 0.74 face à une défense 0.98 ; Newcastle attaque 1.33 face à 1.12.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.3049 - 2.1751
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Burnley 6/15 · Newcastle 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0063).
Strengths — Burnley: att 0.74 / def 1.12 · Newcastle: att 1.33 / def 0.98
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 3.37 / 4.21 / 2.02
Likely scores
1-1 · 9.6%
1-2 · 9.5%
0-2 · 7.3%
1-3 · 6.9%
2-2 · 6.2%
Head-to-head
0Burnley
0draws
3Newcastle
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.0
BTTS yes · 33%
Over 2.5 · 33%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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