Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 55/100
actual X
26%
27%
48%
1 26%X 27%2 48%
Match preview
Burnley face Brighton in the Premier League, April 13, 2024. Predify's model leans an away win with a 48% probability. Over their last five, Burnley collected 6/15 points to Brighton's 4/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 51% and both teams to score 54%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — an away win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
BTTS yes
54%
Expected goals
1.081 - 1.6381
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)52%
12 (home/away)73%
X2 (draw/away)75%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.577%
Over 2.551%
Over 3.529%
Clean sheet
Burnley19%
Brighton34%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Burnley attaque 0.65 face à une défense 0.94 ; Brighton attaque 0.91 face à 1.23.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.081 - 1.6381
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Burnley 6/15 · Brighton 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0009).
Strengths — Burnley: att 0.65 / def 1.23 · Brighton: att 0.91 / def 0.94
Recent form (last 5)
BurnleyDWDDL
B Brighton
LWLDL
Market odds
football-data — 3.97 / 4.06 / 1.88
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.8%
0-1 · 9.6%
1-2 · 9.6%
0-2 · 8.8%
0-0 · 7.8%
Head-to-head
1Burnley
1draws
1Brighton
3 meetings
Avg goals · 2.7
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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