Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 56/100
✓ correct
49%
28%
23%
1 49%X 28%2 23%
Match preview
Everton face Burnley in the Premier League, April 06, 2024. Predify's model leans a home win with a 49% probability. Over their last five, Everton collected 2/15 points to Burnley's 6/15. A tighter game is expected: Over 2.5 sits at just 41%, with BTTS at 46%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS yes
46%
Expected goals
1.4115 - 0.9075
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)77%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)51%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.569%
Over 2.541%
Over 3.520%
Clean sheet
Everton40%
Burnley24%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Everton attaque 0.63 face à une défense 1.27 ; Burnley attaque 0.69 face à 0.91.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.4115 - 0.9075
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Everton 2/15 · Burnley 6/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0042).
Strengths — Everton: att 0.63 / def 0.91 · Burnley: att 0.69 / def 1.27
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 1.76 / 3.92 / 4.79
Likely scores
1-1 · 13.9%
1-0 · 12.6%
0-0 · 11.1%
2-0 · 9.8%
2-1 · 8.9%
Head-to-head
2Everton
0draws
1Burnley
3 meetings
Avg goals · 3.7
BTTS yes · 67%
Over 2.5 · 67%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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