Predify
Premier League · April 30, 2023
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
40%
28%
32%
1 40%X 28%2 32%
Match preview
Bournemouth face Leeds in the Premier League, April 30, 2023 — and the model calls it tight: 40% home, 28% draw, 32% away. Over their last five, Bournemouth collected 9/15 points to Leeds's 4/15. Goals look likely: Over 2.5 is rated 56% and both teams to score 60%. Remember: these are probabilities, not certainties — a home win is the lean, never a lock. 18+, gamble responsibly.
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS yes
60%
Expected goals
1.6115 - 1.3125
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)68%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)60%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.580%
Over 2.556%
Over 3.534%
Clean sheet
Bournemouth27%
Leeds20%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Bournemouth attaque 0.71 face à une défense 1.43 ; Leeds attaque 0.85 face à 1.22.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.6115 - 1.3125
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Bournemouth 9/15 · Leeds 4/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0014).
Strengths — Bournemouth: att 0.71 / def 1.22 · Leeds: att 0.85 / def 1.43
Recent form (last 5)
BournemouthLWWLW
LeedsWLLLD
Market odds
football-data — 2.51 / 3.43 / 3.01
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.5%
2-1 · 9.2%
1-0 · 7.5%
1-2 · 7.5%
2-0 · 7.0%
Head-to-head
0Bournemouth
0draws
1Leeds
1 meetings
Avg goals · 7.0
BTTS yes · 100%
Over 2.5 · 100%
Nov 05, 22Leeds4-3Bournemouth
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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