Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
31%
31%
38%
1 31%X 31%2 38%
⚡ Value detected on 2 (edge +11.4% vs market)
Over 2.5
38%
Under 2.5
62%
BTTS yes
45%
Expected goals
0.9032 - 1.3176
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)62%
12 (home/away)69%
X2 (draw/away)69%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.566%
Over 2.538%
Over 3.518%
Clean sheet
Watford27%
Burnley41%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Watford attaque 0.65 face à une défense 0.95 ; Burnley attaque 0.69 face à 1.52.
Buts attendus (λ)
0.9032 - 1.3176
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Watford 3/15 · Burnley 10/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0144).
Strengths — Watford: att 0.65 / def 1.52 · Burnley: att 0.69 / def 0.95
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.71 / 3.22 / 2.92
Likely scores
1-1 · 14.2%
0-1 · 13.0%
0-0 · 12.1%
0-2 · 9.4%
1-0 · 8.5%
Head-to-head
0Watford
1draws
0Burnley
1 meetings
Avg goals · 0.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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