Predify
1X2 prediction
confidence 54/100
✓ correct
36%
28%
36%
1 36%X 28%2 36%
⚡ Value detected on 1 (edge +5.3% vs market)
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS yes
62%
Expected goals
1.5661 - 1.4715
More markets
Double chance
1X (home/draw)64%
12 (home/away)72%
X2 (draw/away)64%
Goals (Over/Under)
Over 1.582%
Over 2.559%
Over 3.536%
Clean sheet
Watford23%
Leeds21%
Why this prediction?
Attaque vs défense
Watford attaque 0.66 face à une défense 1.59 ; Leeds attaque 0.85 face à 1.34.
Buts attendus (λ)
1.5661 - 1.4715
Forme (5 derniers, pts)
Watford 4/15 · Leeds 7/15
Accord avec le marché
Modèle aligné sur les cotes (divergence 0.0022).
Strengths — Watford: att 0.66 / def 1.34 · Leeds: att 0.85 / def 1.59
Recent form (last 5)
Market odds
football-data — 2.91 / 3.45 / 2.57
Likely scores
1-1 · 12.2%
2-1 · 8.6%
1-2 · 8.1%
1-0 · 6.4%
2-2 · 6.4%
Head-to-head
0Watford
0draws
1Leeds
1 meetings
Avg goals · 1.0
BTTS yes · 0%
Over 2.5 · 0%
ℹ️ H2H has weak real predictive power (small sample) — the model weights it lightly.
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